BOSSIER CITY HOME INSURANCE
Total incurred losses for the calendar year 2004 for its U.S.
Mortgage Insurance Operations (U.S. MIO) will be between $220
million to $240 million, compared to previous 2004 financial
guidance of $260 million to $280 million;
U.S. primary mortgage insurance in force at December 31, 2004 will
increase between two and seven percent over insurance in force at
December 31, 2003, compared to previous 2004 financial guidance of
five to fifteen percent;
Net income from International Mortgage Insurance Operations will
increase between $16 million and $20 million over 2003 reported
results, (assuming no foreign currency exchange rate effects)
compared to previous 2004 financial guidance of $8 million to $9
million;
The primary factors affecting the growth of U.S. primary insurance
in force include the level of mortgage interest rates, mortgage
refinance activity and the volume of new insurance written,
including reduced opportunities for bulk insurance writings.
The primary factors affecting the growth of net income from
International Mortgage Insurance Operations include the better than
anticipated level of loss and loss adjustment expense for PMI
Australia and the stronger than expected contribution from PMI
Europe, specifically more favorable than expected results from a
2003 first loss, credit risk transaction.
Cautionary Statement: Statements in this news release that are not
historical facts or that relate to future plans, events or
performance are "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of
the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These
forward-looking statements include the Company's expectations with
respect to U.S. MIO's total incurred losses in 2004, PMI's primary
mortgage insurance in force in 2004, and International Mortgage
Insurance Operations' net income in 2004. Many factors could cause
actual results and developments to differ materially from those
expressed or implied by forward-looking statements.
Changes in economic conditions, including economic recessions or
slowdowns, changes in consumer confidence, declining housing
values, higher unemployment rates, deteriorating borrower credit,
changes in interest rates, increases in refinancing activity caused
by declining interest rates, competing products, or combinations of
these factors, could affect PMI's insurance in force. A decrease in
persistency resulting from policy cancellations or in the demand
for mortgage insurance could adversely impact PMI's insurance in
force.
Changes in economic conditions also could cause the number and
severity of claims on policies issued by PMI to increase and this
could adversely affect U.S. MIO's total incurred losses. The
Company's International Mortgage Insurance Operations could be
adversely affected by a weakening in the demand for housing or
interest rate volatility in Europe, Australia, New Zealand or Hong
Kong, and/or increases in claims. Other risks and uncertainties are
discussed in the Company's SEC filings, including its Form 10-Q for
the quarter ended March 31, 2004. The Company undertakes no
obligation to update forward-looking statements.
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